New York's Child Population Declining

Jan 31, 2013

A recent study finds New York State’s child population is shrinking and demographers say that’s a concern for the state’s future economy.

The study was released this month by the Lucile Packard Foundation for Children's Health. It finds New York and a handful of other states including California and Illinois are facing a demographic shift.

Mark Mather, a demographer with the Population Reference Bureau, says New York’s birth rate is declining in the midst of retirements for the state’s over-65 population. He also adds people are moving out of state for more job opportunities which Mather says is a potential concern for cities like Rochester.

"Once you have this outflow starting to take place with people moving away, it can be very hard to reverse that. You can get stuck in a downward spiral where people are leaving and therefore there's fewer demand for services, you know jobs for infrastructure and housing and lots of other things," he says.

Forbes Magazine recently ranked Rochester number 5 in the nation in its “Baby Bust Cities” ranking. Between 2000 and 2010, Rochester saw a 13-percent-population-drop in children under the age of 15.